OKLO · NYSE · STOCK
Oklo (OKLO) Stock Analysis
$29.08
52W $31.02 – $193.84
51/100
$5.53B
-33.5
1.22
Is OKLO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.99 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.01 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 48 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 7.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -7.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 24 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 62%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− Price-to-book of 7.6x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 25.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 48 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.8 to 51.0.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 60->64 (+4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
18.0
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.606
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$17.80
Resistance
$73.50
Bollinger %B
-0.14
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$33.58
Below
EMA 21
$35.84
Below
EMA 50
$39.41
Below
EMA 200
$54.62
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
99
Growth
28
Profitability
4
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-33.5×
P/B Ratio
1.71×
PEG Ratio
0.29
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$193.84
52W Low
$31.02
Quality & Growth
ROE
-715.8%
ROA
-691.3%
Gross Margin
2694.2%
Operating Margin
—
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -33.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -7.2%; Return on assets of -6.9%; Net margin of -12625.5%; Gross margin of 26.9%; Current ratio of 48.46 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Free cash flow per share is negative (-1.57); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 71.3%; EPS growth decelerating (+29.6% -> -47.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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