OPEN · NASDAQ · STOCK
Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) Stock Analysis
$2.23
52W $2.13 – $9.46
43/100
$2.14B
-1.2
3.75
Is OPEN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) Watch with a composite score of 43/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +16.57 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -3.43 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 7 articles, 14d). Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -37.2% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 7 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 5.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -165.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -37.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 24 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
43/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 98%
of 80 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 5.5x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -37.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bearish
39
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 26.8% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 7 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 41.9 to 43.4.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->67 (+9); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
24.4
Oversold
MACD Histogram
0.012
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$0.51
Resistance
$4.97
Bollinger %B
0.11
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$2.34
Below
EMA 21
$2.53
Below
EMA 50
$3.00
Below
EMA 200
$4.09
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
96
Growth
15
Profitability
0
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-1.2×
P/B Ratio
2.35×
PEG Ratio
0.00
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$9.46
52W Low
$2.13
Quality & Growth
ROE
-12935.3%
ROA
-5400.9%
Gross Margin
829.8%
Operating Margin
-1604.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.21
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -1.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.3x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -129.4%; Return on assets of -54.0%; Net margin of -46.7%; Gross margin of 8.3%; Current ratio of 2.94 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.21; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.49); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 43.3%; EPS growth decelerating (+97.5% -> -431.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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