PCG · NYSE · STOCK
PG&E (PCG) Stock Analysis
$13.12
52W $11.77 – $19.16
52/100
$35.19B
9.5
0.28
Is PCG Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates PG&E Corporation (PCG) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.57 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.43 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 8.9 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 8.9 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.87 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.87) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.97 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 51%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 8.9 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 1.87 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.87) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.4 to 52.4.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
63.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.216
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$12.97
Resistance
$16.38
Bollinger %B
0.73
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$12.64
Above
EMA 21
$13.04
Above
EMA 50
$14.32
Below
EMA 200
$15.95
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
64
Profitability
53
Financial Health
32
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
9.5×
P/B Ratio
0.85×
PEG Ratio
0.36
Dividend Yield
1.52%
52W High
$19.16
52W Low
$11.77
Quality & Growth
ROE
830.7%
ROA
190.9%
Gross Margin
5621.4%
Operating Margin
1999.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.91
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 9.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.9x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.3%; Return on assets of 1.9%; Net margin of 12.3%; Gross margin of 56.2%; Current ratio of 1.22 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.91; Free cash flow per share is negative (-1.94); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.7%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+33.3% -> -16.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 29.0%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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