SRE · NYSE · STOCK
Sempra Energy (SRE) Stock Analysis
$81.33
52W $76.21 – $101.04
52/100
$53.17B
23.4
0.56
Is SRE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Sempra Energy (SRE) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.42 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.58 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.2% pays you to wait — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- EPS declining -17.1% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 62%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.2% pays you to wait
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -17.1% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.6 to 51.6.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
66.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.479
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$80.12
Resistance
$83.47
Bollinger %B
0.72
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$79.66
Above
EMA 21
$80.29
Above
EMA 50
$82.94
Below
EMA 200
$87.47
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
88
Growth
48
Profitability
46
Financial Health
70
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
23.4×
P/B Ratio
1.63×
PEG Ratio
-1.43
Dividend Yield
3.22%
52W High
$101.04
52W Low
$76.21
Quality & Growth
ROE
581.1%
ROA
165.7%
Gross Margin
4171.4%
Operating Margin
2686.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.12
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 23.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of -1.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 5.8%; Return on assets of 1.7%; Net margin of 16.8%; Gross margin of 41.7%; Current ratio of 1.64 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.12; Free cash flow per share is negative (-8.02); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.5%; EPS growth decelerating (+18.0% -> -23.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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