NASDAQ · STOCK
Progressive Corporation
$233.44
52W $189.20 – $260.10
54/100
$137,158
11.9
0.26
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or above 70 signals overbought conditions — bearish entry bias.
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- RSI is overbought at 79.2 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 2.6% downside vs 0.4% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
The AI Investment Committee is an ensemble of six specialized analytical agents: Value Analyst, Technical Analyst, Growth Analyst, Risk Analyst, Macro Analyst, and News Analyst. Each agent independently evaluates PGR using dedicated data signals, then the committee aggregates their verdicts into a final score and recommendation. This multi-agent approach reduces individual model bias and provides a more balanced investment assessment.
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
79.2
Overbought
MACD Histogram
2.233
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$230.22
Resistance
$237.22
Bollinger %B
0.93
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$227.14
Above
EMA 21
$217.99
Above
EMA 50
$209.82
Above
EMA 200
$215.19
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
78
Growth
88
Profitability
87
Financial Health
50
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.9×
P/B Ratio
4.40×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
0.17%
52W High
$260.10
52W Low
$189.20
Quality & Growth
ROE
3545.0%
ROA
959.0%
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
1659.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+1389.0%
Debt / Equity
0.23
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 11.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.4x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 13.9%; EPS growth (YoY) of 32.6%; Return on equity of 35.4%; Return on assets of 9.6%; Net margin of 12.9%; Current ratio of 0.09 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.23; Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
Key Risks
- RSI is overbought at 79.2 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 2.6% downside vs 0.4% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
Get the Full PGR Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →
Mobile