SBS · NYSE · STOCK
Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP
$5.03
52W $4.18 – $7.16
52/100
$17.19B
2.4
0.09
Is SBS Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP (SBS) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.92 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.08 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- RSI at 19 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 60%
of 56 Utilities peers
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 19 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
19.1
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.049
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$4.51
Resistance
$5.45
Bollinger %B
-0.04
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$5.32
Below
EMA 21
$5.47
Below
EMA 50
$5.62
Below
EMA 200
$5.48
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
79
Financial Health
72
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
2.4×
P/B Ratio
0.41×
PEG Ratio
-0.09
Dividend Yield
2.67%
52W High
$7.16
52W Low
$4.18
Quality & Growth
ROE
1957.5%
ROA
781.0%
Gross Margin
3645.5%
Operating Margin
3212.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.18
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 2.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.4x; PEG ratio of -0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 19.6%; Return on assets of 7.8%; Net margin of 22.0%; Gross margin of 36.5%; Current ratio of 1.74 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.18; Free cash flow per share is positive (11.36); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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