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SOXX · NASDAQ · ETF

iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) Analysis

Financial Services Updated October 10, 2026
$559.71
52W $260.44 – $655.95
56/100
$49.59B
—
2.24
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
56/100
Conviction: High · 75% agreement · 4 analysts
+1.1%
-12.5%
0.09:1
High

Is SOXX Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) Watch with a composite score of 56/100 , based on 4 analysts with 75% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.69 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.31 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
  • Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 99 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 21.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
75%
Analysts
4
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 71%
of 212 Financial Services peers
Technical Analyst bullish
61 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 21.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
64 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 99 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 57.1 to 56.3.

Analyst-level changes:
  • News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 60->64 (+4); +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Technical Analyst: score 69->61 (-8); +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
43.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.555
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$489.64
Resistance
$565.95
Bollinger %B
0.53
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$571.21 Below
EMA 21
$559.98 Below
EMA 50
$546.26 Above
EMA 200
$472.24 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
P/E Ratio —
P/B Ratio —
PEG Ratio —
Dividend Yield —
52W High $655.95
52W Low $260.44
Quality & Growth
ROE —
ROA —
Gross Margin —
Operating Margin —
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity —
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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