SR · NYSE · STOCK
Spire (SR) Stock Analysis
$78.40
52W $74.84 – $95.31
54/100
$4.64B
8.7
0.54
Is SR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Spire (SR) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.88 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.12 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 8.4 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 8.4 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 15.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 5.0% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 89.9% YoY — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.53 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.53) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.32 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 37%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 8.4 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 1.53 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 89.9% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.53) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− News sentiment is negative (-0.20 across 5 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.3 to 54.1.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
55.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.207
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$75.92
Resistance
$78.84
Bollinger %B
0.53
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$77.82
Above
EMA 21
$78.49
Below
EMA 50
$79.88
Below
EMA 200
$82.26
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
44
Profitability
49
Financial Health
12
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
8.7×
P/B Ratio
1.29×
PEG Ratio
0.09
Dividend Yield
4.21%
52W High
$95.31
52W Low
$74.84
Quality & Growth
ROE
801.6%
ROA
234.7%
Gross Margin
3270.2%
Operating Margin
1970.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.03
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 8.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.3x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.0%; Return on assets of 2.3%; Net margin of 21.6%; Gross margin of 32.7%; Current ratio of 0.37 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.03; Free cash flow per share is negative (-3.44); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.5%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+112.4% -> -106.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -2700.0%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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