SUI · NYSE · STOCK
Sun Communities (SUI) Stock Analysis
$116.28
52W $109.77 – $137.85
53/100
$13.92B
-16.0
0.76
Is SUI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Sun Communities, Inc. (SUI) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.66 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.34 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- ROE of only -12.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -20.7% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 56%
of 80 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait
− ROE of only -12.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -20.7% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.2 to 53.3.
- Committee agreement fell sharply from 60% to 40%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->63 (+5); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
58.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.606
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$109.34
Resistance
$128.06
Bollinger %B
0.81
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$112.98
Above
EMA 21
$113.51
Above
EMA 50
$116.10
Above
EMA 200
$121.78
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
95
Growth
49
Profitability
71
Financial Health
94
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-16.0×
P/B Ratio
2.51×
PEG Ratio
0.09
Dividend Yield
3.90%
52W High
$137.85
52W Low
$109.77
Quality & Growth
ROE
1942.4%
ROA
1097.0%
Gross Margin
5397.9%
Operating Margin
2514.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.73
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -16.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.5x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 19.4%; Return on assets of 11.0%; Net margin of -39.3%; Gross margin of 54.0%; Current ratio of 3.77 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.73; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.77); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.6%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-107.1% -> +1057.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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