AGNC vs CXW
AGNC Investment Corp. vs CoreCivic, Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
AGNC
AGNC Investment Corp.
61
Buy
VS
CXW
CoreCivic, Inc.
69
Buy
| Metric | AGNC | CXW |
|---|
| AI Score |
61
|
69
|
| Price |
$10.88
|
$33.91
|
| P/E Ratio |
5.53×
|
27.58×
|
| ROE |
13.5%
|
8.3%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
75.7%
|
19.8%
|
| Debt / Equity |
7.16×
|
0.94×
|
| Dividend Yield |
13.2%
|
0.0%
|
| RSI (14) |
56.8
|
81.8
|
| Beta |
1.306
|
0.575
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
—
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for AGNC versus CXW.
CXW leads by 8 points.
CXW scores 69/100 (Buy) versus AGNC at 61/100 (Buy).
AGNC Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 56.3% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 8.21) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 5.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 8.21 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 8.21) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
CXW Committee View
100% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- EPS growing 62.9% YoY — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- RSI at 82 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical