CXW · NYSE · STOCK
CoreCivic, Inc.
$33.91
52W $15.74 – $34.86
69/100
$3.35B
27.6
0.57
Is CXW Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) Buy with a composite score of 69/100
, based on 5 analysts with 100% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +6.15 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -13.85 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- EPS growing 62.9% YoY — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- RSI at 82 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 80 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
69/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 5%
of 78 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 25.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 62.9% YoY
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 82 is in overbought territory
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 24 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
81.8
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.147
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
1.09
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$32.02
Above
EMA 21
$31.23
Above
EMA 50
$29.14
Above
EMA 200
$23.58
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
78
Profitability
26
Financial Health
61
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
27.6×
P/B Ratio
2.43×
PEG Ratio
0.89
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$34.86
52W Low
$15.74
Quality & Growth
ROE
829.1%
ROA
357.7%
Gross Margin
1979.6%
Operating Margin
1265.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.94
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 27.6 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of 0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.3%; Return on assets of 3.6%; Net margin of 5.1%; Gross margin of 19.8%; Current ratio of 1.32 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.94; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.56); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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