AGNC vs EXR
AGNC Investment Corp. vs Extra Space Storage — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
AGNC
AGNC Investment Corp.
62
Buy
VS
EXR
Extra Space Storage
62
Buy
| Metric | AGNC | EXR |
|---|
| AI Score |
62
|
62
|
| Price |
$10.94
|
$146.90
|
| P/E Ratio |
5.56×
|
32.65×
|
| ROE |
13.5%
|
7.3%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
75.7%
|
23.0%
|
| Debt / Equity |
7.16×
|
1.09×
|
| Dividend Yield |
13.1%
|
4.4%
|
| RSI (14) |
60.9
|
47.8
|
| Beta |
1.305
|
1.185
|
| Expected Upside |
+1.4%
|
+0.6%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for AGNC versus EXR.
The committee scores are tied.
AGNC and EXR both score 62/100.
AGNC Committee View
67% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 8.21) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 5.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 8.21 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 8.21) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
EXR Committee View
67% agreement
6 analysts
Positive signals support the current rating — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The committee sees sufficient evidence to maintain the constructive view.
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 4.4% pays you to wait — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- EPS declining -3.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical