EXR · NYSE · STOCK
Extra Space Storage (EXR) Stock Analysis
$146.75
52W $125.71 – $158.88
56/100
$31.02B
32.4
1.19
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is EXR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Extra Space Storage (EXR) Buy with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 24, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +18.75 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.25 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 5.1% pays you to wait — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.15 across 13 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- EPS declining -3.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.34 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 24, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 35%
of 79 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 5.1% pays you to wait
− P/E of 32.7 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -3.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Current ratio of 0.34 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.15 across 13 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.2 to 56.2.
Comparing 2026-08-23 to 2026-08-24 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
42.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.276
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$143.22
Resistance
$147.07
Bollinger %B
0.24
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$147.48
Below
EMA 21
$147.72
Below
EMA 50
$146.93
Below
EMA 200
$143.91
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
72
Growth
69
Profitability
44
Financial Health
35
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.4×
P/B Ratio
2.34×
PEG Ratio
-12.56
Dividend Yield
4.41%
52W High
$158.88
52W Low
$125.71
Quality & Growth
ROE
725.1%
ROA
332.8%
Gross Margin
2300.2%
Operating Margin
4337.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.09
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 32.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.3x; PEG ratio of -12.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.3%; Return on assets of 3.3%; Net margin of 28.0%; Gross margin of 23.0%; Current ratio of 0.34 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.09; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.36); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.1%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-16.2% -> +9.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 5.9%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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