EXR · NYSE · STOCK
Extra Space Storage (EXR) Stock Analysis
$134.70
52W $125.71 – $158.88
54/100
$28.45B
29.7
1.17
Is EXR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Extra Space Storage (EXR) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.10 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.90 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 5.1% pays you to wait — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.18 across 11 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 29.6 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- EPS declining -3.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.34 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 42%
of 80 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 5.1% pays you to wait
− P/E of 29.6 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -3.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.34 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.18 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.2 to 53.9.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.423
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$134.52
Resistance
$147.07
Bollinger %B
0.52
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$133.47
Above
EMA 21
$134.96
Below
EMA 50
$138.61
Below
EMA 200
$141.84
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
77
Growth
69
Profitability
44
Financial Health
35
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
29.7×
P/B Ratio
2.14×
PEG Ratio
-11.52
Dividend Yield
4.81%
52W High
$158.88
52W Low
$125.71
Quality & Growth
ROE
725.1%
ROA
332.8%
Gross Margin
2300.2%
Operating Margin
4337.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.09
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 29.7 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.1x; PEG ratio of -11.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.3%; Return on assets of 3.3%; Net margin of 28.0%; Gross margin of 23.0%; Current ratio of 0.34 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.09; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.36); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.1%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-16.2% -> +9.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 5.9%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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