AGNC vs NLY
AGNC Investment Corp. vs Annaly Capital Management — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
AGNC
AGNC Investment Corp.
61
Buy
VS
NLY
Annaly Capital Management
67
Buy
| Metric | AGNC | NLY |
|---|
| AI Score |
61
|
67
|
| Price |
$10.88
|
$23.14
|
| P/E Ratio |
5.53×
|
5.77×
|
| ROE |
13.5%
|
12.6%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
75.7%
|
99.3%
|
| Debt / Equity |
7.16×
|
7.38×
|
| Dividend Yield |
13.2%
|
12.3%
|
| RSI (14) |
56.8
|
55.0
|
| Beta |
1.306
|
1.239
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
+0.4%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for AGNC versus NLY.
NLY leads by 6 points.
NLY scores 67/100 (Buy) versus AGNC at 61/100 (Buy).
AGNC Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 56.3% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 8.21) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 5.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 8.21 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 8.21) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
NLY Committee View
67% agreement
6 analysts
The primary driver is revenue growing 50.9% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 5.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 7.22 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 7.22) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk