Get the Weekly Intelligence Brief — top committee picks every Sunday.

ALLE vs AWI

Allegion vs Armstrong World Industries, Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
ALLE
Allegion
70
Buy
VS
AWI
Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
54
Watch
MetricALLEAWI
AI Score 70 54
Price $168.41 $186.65
P/E Ratio 21.99× 25.54×
ROE 31.1% 34.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
Gross Margin 44.8% 40.3%
Debt / Equity 0.96× 0.66×
Dividend Yield 1.3% 0.7%
RSI (14) 68.5 73.2
Beta 0.845 1.17
Expected Upside +8.8%

AI Committee View

Current Innellis committee reasoning for ALLE versus AWI.
ALLE leads by 16 points.

ALLE scores 70/100 (Buy) versus AWI at 54/100 (Watch).

ALLE Committee View
80% agreement
5 analysts

The primary driver is quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. The main limiting factor is bollinger bandwidth of 32.4% signals elevated volatility. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.

Bull Case
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 32.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
AWI Committee View
33% agreement
6 analysts

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 30.1% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull Case
  • ROE of 35.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
  • Price-to-book of 9.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • RSI at 73 is in overbought territory — Technical
  • Weekly RSI at 77 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Want the full breakdown?
Committee votes, technicals, and trade plans for both companies.
ALLE Full Analysis AWI Full Analysis