ALLE · NYSE · STOCK
Allegion (ALLE) Stock Analysis
$150.58
52W $125.00 – $183.11
61/100
$12.80B
19.6
0.82
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is ALLE Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Allegion (ALLE) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.40 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.60 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 32.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 6.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 30%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 32.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.6x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 62.2 to 60.6.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 60%.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bullish at 70).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
40.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.333
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$134.74
Resistance
$156.07
Bollinger %B
0.17
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$152.03
Below
EMA 21
$153.32
Below
EMA 50
$153.34
Below
EMA 200
$150.72
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
37
Growth
75
Profitability
85
Financial Health
86
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.6×
P/B Ratio
6.09×
PEG Ratio
3.39
Dividend Yield
1.44%
52W High
$183.11
52W Low
$125.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
3113.8%
ROA
1232.5%
Gross Margin
4480.1%
Operating Margin
2083.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.96
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.1x; PEG ratio of 3.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 31.1%; Return on assets of 12.3%; Net margin of 15.4%; Gross margin of 44.8%; Current ratio of 1.93 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.96; Free cash flow per share is positive (7.96); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 6.2%; EPS growth accelerating (-7.2% -> +33.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 17.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full ALLE Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →