ALV vs HGV
Autoliv vs Hilton Grand Vacations — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
VS
HGV
Hilton Grand Vacations
53
Watch
| Metric | ALV | HGV |
|---|
| AI Score |
62
|
53
|
| Price |
$123.29
|
$45.35
|
| P/E Ratio |
14.70×
|
20.98×
|
| ROE |
28.6%
|
6.3%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
19.2%
|
60.7%
|
| Debt / Equity |
0.88×
|
7.12×
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.8%
|
0.0%
|
| RSI (14) |
65.9
|
47.7
|
| Beta |
1.376
|
1.523
|
| Expected Upside |
+0.1%
|
+0.7%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for ALV versus HGV.
ALV leads by 9 points.
ALV scores 62/100 (Buy) versus HGV at 53/100 (Watch).
ALV Committee View
60% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is p/e of 13.7 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is eps declining -7.0% yoy despite any revenue growth. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 25.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.7% pays you to wait — Value
Bear Case
- EPS declining -7.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
HGV Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 5.63) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- EPS growing 205.5% YoY — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 5.63 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 5.63) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk