ALV · NYSE · STOCK
Autoliv (ALV) Stock Analysis
$125.20
52W $99.16 – $132.17
68/100
$9.16B
14.7
1.38
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is ALV Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Autoliv (ALV) Buy with a composite score of 68/100
, based on 5 analysts with 100% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +6.60 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -13.40 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
68/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 1%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 62.5 to 68.4.
- Conviction changed from high to unanimous.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 83% to 100%.
- Bullish support removed: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 48->85 (+37).
- Value Analyst abstained (was bullish at 70).
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
62.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.041
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$113.98
Resistance
$125.12
Bollinger %B
0.96
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$122.39
Above
EMA 21
$122.19
Above
EMA 50
$121.57
Above
EMA 200
$118.72
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
89
Growth
61
Profitability
54
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
14.7×
P/B Ratio
3.72×
PEG Ratio
-2.10
Dividend Yield
2.78%
52W High
$132.17
52W Low
$99.16
Quality & Growth
ROE
2857.7%
ROA
850.3%
Gross Margin
1921.7%
Operating Margin
929.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.88
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 14.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.7x; PEG ratio of -2.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 28.6%; Return on assets of 8.5%; Net margin of 5.8%; Gross margin of 19.2%; Current ratio of 1.03 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.88; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.20); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.7%; EPS growth accelerating (-35.7% -> +18.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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