ALV · NASDAQ · STOCK
Autoliv
$120.63
52W $99.16 – $132.17
74/100
$9.00B
14.4
1.38
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is ALV Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Autoliv (ALV) Buy with a composite score of 74/100
, based on 5 analysts with 100% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +0.69 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -19.31 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. The main limiting factor is 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 7.2% downside vs 1.2% upside.
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
74/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 0%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.62 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 68.0 to 74.3.
- Conviction changed from high to unanimous.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 83% to 100%.
- Bullish support removed: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 48->85 (+37).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst abstained (was bullish at 70).
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
53.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.207
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$113.98
Resistance
$124.30
Bollinger %B
0.62
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$122.44
Below
EMA 21
$121.62
Below
EMA 50
$120.80
Below
EMA 200
$118.00
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
89
Growth
61
Profitability
54
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
14.4×
P/B Ratio
3.66×
PEG Ratio
-2.06
Dividend Yield
2.82%
52W High
$132.17
52W Low
$99.16
Quality & Growth
ROE
2857.7%
ROA
850.3%
Gross Margin
1921.7%
Operating Margin
929.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.88
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 14.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.7x; PEG ratio of -2.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 28.6%; Return on assets of 8.5%; Net margin of 5.8%; Gross margin of 19.2%; Current ratio of 1.03 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.88; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.20); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.7%; EPS growth accelerating (-35.7% -> +18.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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