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CENX vs CF

Century Aluminum Company vs CF Industries — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
CENX
Century Aluminum Company
56
Watch
VS
CF
CF Industries
69
Buy
MetricCENXCF
AI Score 56 69
Price $52.25 $117.79
P/E Ratio 8.57× 8.71×
ROE 5.1% 30.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
Gross Margin 19.3% 42.5%
Debt / Equity 0.34× 0.63×
Dividend Yield 0.0% 1.7%
RSI (14) 76.4 54.7
Beta 1.998 0.398
Expected Upside +7.3%

AI Committee View

Current Innellis committee reasoning for CENX versus CF.
CF leads by 13 points.

CF scores 69/100 (Buy) versus CENX at 56/100 (Watch).

CENX Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 26.2% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull Case
  • P/E of 8.4 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
  • ROE of 58.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • EPS growing 383.8% YoY — Growth
Bear Case
  • Price-to-book of 4.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • RSI at 76 is in overbought territory — Technical
  • Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
CF Committee View
80% agreement
5 analysts

The primary driver is eps growing 76.3% yoy. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.

Bull Case
  • P/E of 8.5 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
  • ROE of 40.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • EPS growing 76.3% YoY — Growth
Bear Case
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Want the full breakdown?
Committee votes, technicals, and trade plans for both companies.
CENX Full Analysis CF Full Analysis