CENX vs LYB
Century Aluminum Company vs LyondellBasell Industries — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
CENX
Century Aluminum Company
56
Watch
VS
LYB
LyondellBasell Industries
71
Buy
| Metric | CENX | LYB |
|---|
| AI Score |
56
|
71
|
| Price |
$52.25
|
$63.99
|
| P/E Ratio |
8.57×
|
-57.12×
|
| ROE |
5.1%
|
-7.4%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
19.3%
|
13.2%
|
| Debt / Equity |
0.34×
|
1.33×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.0%
|
6.4%
|
| RSI (14) |
76.4
|
60.8
|
| Beta |
1.998
|
0.347
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
+7.6%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for CENX versus LYB.
LYB leads by 15 points.
LYB scores 71/100 (Buy) versus CENX at 56/100 (Watch).
CENX Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 26.2% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 8.4 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 58.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 383.8% YoY — Growth
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- RSI at 76 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
LYB Committee View
75% agreement
4 analysts
The primary driver is quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Most analysts agree, and no major concerns are blocking a stronger rating.
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 15.2% downside vs 7.6% upside.