LYB · NYSE · STOCK
LyondellBasell Industries (LYB) Stock Analysis
$67.49
52W $41.58 – $83.94
58/100
$21.80B
-60.3
0.35
Is LYB Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates LyondellBasell Industries (LYB) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +1.70 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -18.30 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 18.3% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- RSI at 72 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 39%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 72 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 51.9 to 58.3.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell sharply from 67% to 40%.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 50->85 (+35).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 55).
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
71.6
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.633
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$65.83
Resistance
$79.33
Bollinger %B
0.94
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$65.23
Above
EMA 21
$63.14
Above
EMA 50
$62.36
Above
EMA 200
$61.91
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
71
Profitability
0
Financial Health
64
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-60.3×
P/B Ratio
2.04×
PEG Ratio
0.05
Dividend Yield
6.10%
52W High
$83.94
52W Low
$41.58
Quality & Growth
ROE
-737.0%
ROA
-218.5%
Gross Margin
1316.0%
Operating Margin
324.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.33
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -60.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.0x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -7.4%; Return on assets of -2.2%; Net margin of -1.1%; Gross margin of 13.2%; Current ratio of 1.64 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.33; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.70); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 24.7%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+288.5% -> +777.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 593.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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