CF vs RIO
CF Industries vs Rio Tinto Group — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
VS
RIO
Rio Tinto Group
60
Buy
| Metric | CF | RIO |
|---|
| AI Score |
69
|
60
|
| Price |
$117.79
|
$101.00
|
| P/E Ratio |
8.71×
|
13.63×
|
| ROE |
30.1%
|
16.1%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
42.5%
|
27.3%
|
| Debt / Equity |
0.63×
|
0.35×
|
| Dividend Yield |
1.7%
|
4.0%
|
| RSI (14) |
54.7
|
66.9
|
| Beta |
0.398
|
0.658
|
| Expected Upside |
+7.3%
|
—
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for CF versus RIO.
CF leads by 9 points.
CF scores 69/100 (Buy) versus RIO at 60/100 (Buy).
CF Committee View
80% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is eps growing 76.3% yoy. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 8.5 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 40.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 76.3% YoY — Growth
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
RIO Committee View
67% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -14.0% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 18.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.6% pays you to wait — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- EPS declining -14.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk