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CMI vs EXPO

Cummins vs Exponent, Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
CMI
Cummins
49
Watch
VS
EXPO
Exponent, Inc.
69
Buy
MetricCMIEXPO
AI Score 49 69
Price $571.47 $70.80
P/E Ratio 29.09× 31.74×
ROE 23.0% 27.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
Gross Margin 25.3% 24.6%
Debt / Equity 0.65× 0.28×
Dividend Yield 1.4% 1.7%
RSI (14) 18.6 71.3
Beta 1.246 0.678
Expected Upside +8.1% +3.6%

AI Committee View

Current Innellis committee reasoning for CMI versus EXPO.
EXPO leads by 20 points.

EXPO scores 69/100 (Buy) versus CMI at 49/100 (Watch).

CMI Committee View
40% agreement
5 analysts

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -8.0% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull Case
  • ROE of 21.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait — Value
Bear Case
  • P/E of 32.3 is moderate-to-rich — Value
  • Price-to-book of 5.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • EPS declining -8.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
EXPO Committee View
100% agreement
4 analysts

The primary driver is 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 3063.01). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.

Bull Case
  • 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
  • RSI is overbought at 71.3 — momentum may be exhausted.
  • Stochastic RSI (84.7) confirms overbought conditions.
  • Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
Want the full breakdown?
Committee votes, technicals, and trade plans for both companies.
CMI Full Analysis EXPO Full Analysis