CMI vs EXPO
Cummins vs Exponent, Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
VS
EXPO
Exponent, Inc.
69
Buy
| Metric | CMI | EXPO |
| AI Score |
49
|
69
|
| Price |
$571.47
|
$70.80
|
| P/E Ratio |
29.09×
|
31.74×
|
| ROE |
23.0%
|
27.2%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
25.3%
|
24.6%
|
| Debt / Equity |
0.65×
|
0.28×
|
| Dividend Yield |
1.4%
|
1.7%
|
| RSI (14) |
18.6
|
71.3
|
| Beta |
1.246
|
0.678
|
| Expected Upside |
+8.1%
|
+3.6%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for CMI versus EXPO.
EXPO leads by 20 points.
EXPO scores 69/100 (Buy) versus CMI at 49/100 (Watch).
CMI Committee View
40% agreement
5 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -8.0% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 21.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait — Value
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.3 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -8.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
EXPO Committee View
100% agreement
4 analysts
The primary driver is 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 3063.01). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- RSI is overbought at 71.3 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (84.7) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.