EXPO · NASDAQ · STOCK
Exponent (EXPO) Stock Analysis
$69.77
52W $51.91 – $81.95
64/100
$3.39B
31.3
0.70
Is EXPO Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Exponent, Inc. (EXPO) Buy with a composite score of 64/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.90 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.10 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 27.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 30.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 9.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 11%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 27.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 30.4 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 64.0 to 64.1.
- Conviction changed from high to moderate.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 83% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 64->58 (-6).
- Technical Analyst: score 61->68 (+7); +2 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.432
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$68.91
Resistance
$71.90
Bollinger %B
0.81
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$68.49
Above
EMA 21
$67.87
Above
EMA 50
$67.08
Above
EMA 200
$67.03
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
14
Growth
66
Profitability
75
Financial Health
99
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
31.3×
P/B Ratio
11.79×
PEG Ratio
2.86
Dividend Yield
1.76%
52W High
$81.95
52W Low
$51.91
Quality & Growth
ROE
2715.8%
ROA
1311.0%
Gross Margin
2459.5%
Operating Margin
2017.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.28
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 31.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 11.8x; PEG ratio of 2.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 27.2%; Return on assets of 13.1%; Net margin of 17.7%; Gross margin of 24.6%; Current ratio of 1.98 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.28; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.23); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.0%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+0.0% -> +1.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 15.4%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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