CMI · NASDAQ · STOCK
Cummins
$644.19
52W $386.30 – $737.76
57/100
$88.90B
32.8
1.22
Is CMI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Cummins (CMI) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.17 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.83 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 49 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 62%
of 158 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 49 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.5 to 56.8.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 40% to 50%.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 32->35 (+3).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 48).
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.532
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$629.12
Resistance
$717.75
Bollinger %B
0.41
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$643.86
Above
EMA 21
$650.99
Below
EMA 50
$656.76
Below
EMA 200
$586.52
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
48
Growth
50
Profitability
59
Financial Health
86
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.8×
P/B Ratio
6.93×
PEG Ratio
-4.03
Dividend Yield
1.24%
52W High
$737.76
52W Low
$386.30
Quality & Growth
ROE
2302.2%
ROA
836.4%
Gross Margin
2532.0%
Operating Margin
1113.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.60
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 32.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.9x; PEG ratio of -4.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 23.0%; Return on assets of 8.4%; Net margin of 7.8%; Gross margin of 25.3%; Current ratio of 1.73 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.60; Free cash flow per share is positive (24.38); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 5.0%; EPS growth decelerating (+44.0% -> +12.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 7.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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