CXW vs MPT
CoreCivic, Inc. vs Medical Properties Trust, Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
CXW
CoreCivic, Inc.
69
Buy
VS
MPT
Medical Properties Trust, Inc.
45
Watch
| Metric | CXW | MPT |
|---|
| AI Score |
69
|
45
|
| Price |
$33.91
|
$4.01
|
| P/E Ratio |
27.58×
|
-228.41×
|
| ROE |
8.3%
|
-6.0%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
19.8%
|
97.2%
|
| Debt / Equity |
0.94×
|
0.02×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.0%
|
8.7%
|
| RSI (14) |
81.8
|
19.0
|
| Beta |
0.575
|
1.456
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
—
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for CXW versus MPT.
CXW leads by 24 points.
CXW scores 69/100 (Buy) versus MPT at 45/100 (Watch).
CXW Committee View
100% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- EPS growing 62.9% YoY — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- RSI at 82 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
MPT Committee View
67% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Technical Analyst remains cautious — price structure making lower highs and lower lows. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 8.7% pays you to wait — Value
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -2.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.11 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical