DEO vs OLLI
Diageo plc vs Ollie's Bargain Outlet — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
VS
OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet
64
Buy
| Metric | DEO | OLLI |
|---|
| AI Score |
48
|
64
|
| Price |
$94.94
|
$78.69
|
| P/E Ratio |
30.58×
|
19.29×
|
| ROE |
21.2%
|
12.7%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
59.5%
|
39.6%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.98×
|
0.38×
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.6%
|
0.0%
|
| RSI (14) |
70.4
|
71.3
|
| Beta |
0.307
|
0.499
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
+0.1%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for DEO versus OLLI.
OLLI leads by 16 points.
OLLI scores 64/100 (Buy) versus DEO at 48/100 (Watch).
DEO Committee View
33% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -2.0% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 21.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 5.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.20 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -2.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
OLLI Committee View
67% agreement
6 analysts
The primary driver is news sentiment is positive (+0.75 across 4 articles, 14d). The main limiting factor is growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 71 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 31.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk