DEO vs STZ
Diageo plc vs Constellation Brands — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
VS
STZ
Constellation Brands
65
Buy
| Metric | DEO | STZ |
|---|
| AI Score |
48
|
65
|
| Price |
$94.94
|
$133.88
|
| P/E Ratio |
30.58×
|
12.77×
|
| ROE |
21.2%
|
20.9%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
59.5%
|
52.6%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.98×
|
1.28×
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.6%
|
3.1%
|
| RSI (14) |
70.4
|
55.0
|
| Beta |
0.307
|
0.4
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
+25.6%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for DEO versus STZ.
STZ leads by 17 points.
STZ scores 65/100 (Buy) versus DEO at 48/100 (Watch).
DEO Committee View
33% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -2.0% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 21.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 5.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.20 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -2.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
STZ Committee View
80% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is price structure making lower highs and lower lows. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 12.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 23.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.1% pays you to wait — Value
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -10.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical