EXE vs SM
Expand Energy vs SM Energy Company — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
VS
SM
SM Energy Company
59
Watch
| Metric | EXE | SM |
|---|
| AI Score |
72
|
59
|
| Price |
$98.21
|
$32.49
|
| P/E Ratio |
8.41×
|
8.40×
|
| ROE |
9.8%
|
13.5%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
63.1%
|
61.5%
|
| Debt / Equity |
0.19×
|
0.90×
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.2%
|
2.6%
|
| RSI (14) |
71.5
|
62.0
|
| Beta |
0.322
|
0.738
|
| Expected Upside |
+3.8%
|
—
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for EXE versus SM.
EXE leads by 13 points.
EXE scores 72/100 (Buy) versus SM at 59/100 (Watch).
EXE Committee View
83% agreement
6 analysts
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is rsi at 72 is in overbought territory. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 8.1 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Revenue growing 60.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 72 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
SM Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 7.4 is inexpensive for the broad market. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.69 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 7.4 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 0.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 16.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- EPS declining -28.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical