SM · NYSE · STOCK
SM Energy Company
$32.49
52W $17.45 – $35.88
59/100
$7.79B
8.4
0.74
Is SM Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates SM Energy Company (SM) Watch with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +1.02 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -18.98 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 7.4 is inexpensive for the broad market. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.69 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 7.4 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 0.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 16.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.8% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 67.0% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- EPS declining -28.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.69 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 52%
of 90 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 7.4 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Revenue growing 67.0% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -28.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.69 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
62.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.066
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$25.50
Resistance
$33.20
Bollinger %B
0.71
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$30.92
Above
EMA 21
$30.67
Above
EMA 50
$30.17
Above
EMA 200
$27.73
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
82
Financial Health
40
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
8.4×
P/B Ratio
0.99×
PEG Ratio
-0.18
Dividend Yield
2.58%
52W High
$35.88
52W Low
$17.45
Quality & Growth
ROE
1347.2%
ROA
700.3%
Gross Margin
6149.4%
Operating Margin
2630.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.90
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 8.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.0x; PEG ratio of -0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 13.5%; Return on assets of 7.0%; Net margin of 18.2%; Gross margin of 61.5%; Current ratio of 0.62 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.90; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.16); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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