EXE · NASDAQ · STOCK
Expand Energy (EXE) Stock Analysis
$96.09
52W $84.98 – $126.62
71/100
$22.25B
8.2
0.32
Is EXE Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Expand Energy (EXE) Buy with a composite score of 71/100
, based on 6 analysts with 100% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +4.13 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -15.87 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is p/e of 7.9 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 3069.37). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 7.9 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Revenue growing 60.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 2866.7% YoY — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
71/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 0%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 7.9 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
71
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 60.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.27) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
76
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.57 across 7 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 70.9 to 70.9.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
60.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.077
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$95.42
Resistance
$97.47
Bollinger %B
0.71
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$95.40
Above
EMA 21
$94.06
Above
EMA 50
$93.06
Above
EMA 200
$98.14
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
56
Profitability
78
Financial Health
57
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
8.2×
P/B Ratio
1.18×
PEG Ratio
0.00
Dividend Yield
2.39%
52W High
$126.62
52W Low
$84.98
Quality & Growth
ROE
979.1%
ROA
643.1%
Gross Margin
6311.9%
Operating Margin
2598.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.19
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 8.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.8%; Return on assets of 6.4%; Net margin of 20.8%; Gross margin of 63.1%; Current ratio of 0.96 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.19; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.67); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 14.9%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+91.5% -> -65.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 20.9%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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