EXE · NASDAQ · STOCK
Expand Energy (EXE) Stock Analysis
$90.83
52W $83.25 – $126.62
69/100
$21.38B
7.9
0.32
Is EXE Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Expand Energy (EXE) Buy with a composite score of 69/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +5.90 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -14.10 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.27) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 7.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Revenue growing 60.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 2866.7% YoY — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 73 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
69/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 2%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 7.7 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
71
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 60.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.27) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.69 across 13 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 73.3 to 69.1.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Technical Analyst: score 52->42 (-10); +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
63.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.851
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$90.59
Resistance
$93.43
Bollinger %B
0.94
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$89.21
Above
EMA 21
$89.24
Above
EMA 50
$90.84
Below
EMA 200
$96.01
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
56
Profitability
78
Financial Health
57
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
7.9×
P/B Ratio
1.13×
PEG Ratio
0.00
Dividend Yield
2.49%
52W High
$126.62
52W Low
$83.25
Quality & Growth
ROE
979.1%
ROA
643.1%
Gross Margin
6311.9%
Operating Margin
2598.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.19
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 7.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.1x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.8%; Return on assets of 6.4%; Net margin of 20.8%; Gross margin of 63.1%; Current ratio of 0.96 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.19; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.67); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 14.9%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+91.5% -> -65.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 20.9%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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