EXPD vs GVA
Expeditors International vs Granite Construction Incorporated — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
EXPD
Expeditors International
69
Buy
VS
GVA
Granite Construction Incorporated
57
Watch
| Metric | EXPD | GVA |
|---|
| AI Score |
69
|
57
|
| Price |
$177.05
|
$125.48
|
| P/E Ratio |
25.72×
|
-33.25×
|
| ROE |
34.5%
|
16.4%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
23.9%
|
15.6%
|
| Debt / Equity |
0.27×
|
2.30×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.9%
|
0.4%
|
| RSI (14) |
61.1
|
52.8
|
| Beta |
1.045
|
1.335
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
—
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for EXPD versus GVA.
EXPD leads by 12 points.
EXPD scores 69/100 (Buy) versus GVA at 57/100 (Watch).
EXPD Committee View
83% agreement
6 analysts
The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. The main limiting factor is p/e of 25.4 is moderate-to-rich. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 40.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
GVA Committee View
40% agreement
5 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Value Analyst remains cautious — price-to-book of 4.3x prices in significant intangible value. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -16.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Negative filing: Termination of a material agreement (7d ago) — News