GVA · NYSE · STOCK
Granite Construction Incorporated
$125.48
52W $97.26 – $162.08
57/100
$5.49B
-33.3
1.33
Is GVA Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Granite Construction Incorporated (GVA) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.19 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.81 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Value Analyst remains cautious — price-to-book of 4.3x prices in significant intangible value. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.36 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.43 across 7 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -16.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Negative filing: Termination of a material agreement (7d ago) — News
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 68%
of 223 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 4.3x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.43 across 7 articles, 14d)
− Negative filing: Termination of a material agreement (7d ago)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
52.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.210
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$115.06
Resistance
$136.78
Bollinger %B
0.67
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$124.21
Above
EMA 21
$125.83
Below
EMA 50
$130.18
Below
EMA 200
$124.40
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
70
Profitability
32
Financial Health
14
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-33.3×
P/B Ratio
7.29×
PEG Ratio
0.16
Dividend Yield
0.41%
52W High
$162.08
52W Low
$97.26
Quality & Growth
ROE
1636.9%
ROA
478.9%
Gross Margin
1564.2%
Operating Margin
596.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.30
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -33.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 7.3x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.4%; Return on assets of 4.8%; Net margin of -3.3%; Gross margin of 15.6%; Current ratio of 1.01 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.30; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.79); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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