GVA · NYSE · STOCK
Granite Construction (GVA) Stock Analysis
$112.52
52W $97.26 – $162.08
55/100
$4.92B
-29.8
1.35
Is GVA Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Granite Construction Incorporated (GVA) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.66 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.34 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Value Analyst remains cautious — price-to-book of 4.3x prices in significant intangible value. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -16.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 64%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 4.3x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.3 to 55.3.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
35.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.117
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$108.59
Resistance
$128.87
Bollinger %B
0.19
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$115.69
Below
EMA 21
$116.52
Below
EMA 50
$119.82
Below
EMA 200
$122.38
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
74
Growth
78
Profitability
32
Financial Health
14
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-29.8×
P/B Ratio
6.54×
PEG Ratio
0.15
Dividend Yield
0.46%
52W High
$162.08
52W Low
$97.26
Quality & Growth
ROE
1636.9%
ROA
478.9%
Gross Margin
1564.2%
Operating Margin
596.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.30
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -29.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.5x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.4%; Return on assets of 4.8%; Net margin of -3.3%; Gross margin of 15.6%; Current ratio of 1.01 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.30; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.79); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 8.2%; EPS growth accelerating (-81.4% -> +730.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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