EXPD vs MSM
Expeditors International vs MSC Industrial Direct — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
EXPD
Expeditors International
68
Buy
VS
MSM
MSC Industrial Direct
64
Buy
| Metric | EXPD | MSM |
|---|
| AI Score |
68
|
64
|
| Price |
$178.82
|
$122.85
|
| P/E Ratio |
25.94×
|
29.69×
|
| ROE |
34.5%
|
14.4%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
23.9%
|
40.8%
|
| Debt / Equity |
0.27×
|
0.39×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.9%
|
2.8%
|
| RSI (14) |
60.7
|
43.4
|
| Beta |
1.038
|
0.815
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
—
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for EXPD versus MSM.
EXPD leads by 4 points.
EXPD scores 68/100 (Buy) versus MSM at 64/100 (Buy).
EXPD Committee View
83% agreement
6 analysts
The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. The main limiting factor is p/e of 25.3 is moderate-to-rich. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 40.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.3 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
MSM Committee View
100% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). The main limiting factor is 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 16.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.8% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- P/E of 29.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 76 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical