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EXPD vs ZTO

Expeditors International vs ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
EXPD
Expeditors International
69
Buy
VS
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
69
Buy
MetricEXPDZTO
AI Score 69 69
Price $177.05 $23.16
P/E Ratio 25.72× 13.80×
ROE 34.5% 13.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
Gross Margin 23.9% 24.9%
Debt / Equity 0.27× 0.35×
Dividend Yield 0.9% 2.9%
RSI (14) 61.1 36.5
Beta 1.045 -0.22
Expected Upside

AI Committee View

Current Innellis committee reasoning for EXPD versus ZTO.
The committee scores are tied.

EXPD and ZTO both score 69/100.

EXPD Committee View
83% agreement
6 analysts

The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. The main limiting factor is p/e of 25.4 is moderate-to-rich. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.

Bull Case
  • ROE of 40.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
  • P/E of 25.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
  • Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
ZTO Committee View
100% agreement
6 analysts

The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. The main limiting factor is 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.

Bull Case
  • P/E of 13.0 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
  • Dividend yield of 2.9% pays you to wait — Value
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
  • No news coverage in the last 14 days -- limited independent confirmation either way — News
Want the full breakdown?
Committee votes, technicals, and trade plans for both companies.
EXPD Full Analysis ZTO Full Analysis