FDX vs GEO
FedEx vs The GEO Group, Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
VS
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
67
Buy
| Metric | FDX | GEO |
|---|
| AI Score |
64
|
67
|
| Price |
$326.71
|
$31.45
|
| P/E Ratio |
17.56×
|
14.84×
|
| ROE |
14.0%
|
16.9%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
22.9%
|
42.4%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.36×
|
1.06×
|
| Dividend Yield |
1.5%
|
0.0%
|
| RSI (14) |
63.8
|
63.7
|
| Beta |
1.36
|
0.779
|
| Expected Upside |
+21.8%
|
+1.0%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for FDX versus GEO.
GEO leads by 3 points.
GEO scores 67/100 (Buy) versus FDX at 64/100 (Buy).
FDX Committee View
100% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2500.67). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 15.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- Stochastic RSI (92.5) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
GEO Committee View
60% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is p/e of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 81 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical