FDX · NYSE · STOCK
FedEx (FDX) Stock Analysis
$325.08
52W $178.33 – $345.37
64/100
$76.91B
17.7
1.36
Is FDX Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates FedEx (FDX) Buy with a composite score of 64/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated August 24, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +11.48 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -8.52 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Most analysts agree, and no major concerns are blocking a stronger rating.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 15.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Three Black Crows.
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 24, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 18%
of 226 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 15.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 63.5 to 63.5.
Comparing 2026-08-23 to 2026-08-24 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.012
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$282.54
Resistance
$392.57
Bollinger %B
0.62
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$326.61
Below
EMA 21
$323.16
Above
EMA 50
$326.26
Below
EMA 200
$323.30
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
71
Growth
85
Profitability
36
Financial Health
57
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.7×
P/B Ratio
2.48×
PEG Ratio
2.25
Dividend Yield
1.45%
52W High
$345.37
52W Low
$178.33
Quality & Growth
ROE
1400.8%
ROA
448.1%
Gross Margin
2289.9%
Operating Margin
673.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.36
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.5x; PEG ratio of 2.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 14.0%; Return on assets of 4.5%; Net margin of 4.7%; Gross margin of 22.9%; Current ratio of 1.48 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.36; Free cash flow per share is positive (21.23); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+8.9% -> +20.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 13.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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