FDX vs ZTO
FedEx vs ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
VS
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
64
Buy
| Metric | FDX | ZTO |
|---|
| AI Score |
64
|
64
|
| Price |
$326.71
|
$23.12
|
| P/E Ratio |
17.56×
|
13.57×
|
| ROE |
14.0%
|
13.3%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
22.9%
|
24.9%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.36×
|
0.35×
|
| Dividend Yield |
1.5%
|
3.0%
|
| RSI (14) |
63.8
|
36.5
|
| Beta |
1.36
|
-0.22
|
| Expected Upside |
+21.8%
|
+11.9%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for FDX versus ZTO.
The committee scores are tied.
FDX and ZTO both score 64/100.
FDX Committee View
100% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2500.67). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 15.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- Stochastic RSI (92.5) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
ZTO Committee View
83% agreement
6 analysts
The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. The main limiting factor is growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.0 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical