FERG vs ZTO
Ferguson plc vs ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
VS
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
69
Buy
| Metric | FERG | ZTO |
|---|
| AI Score |
63
|
69
|
| Price |
$251.91
|
$23.16
|
| P/E Ratio |
24.02×
|
13.80×
|
| ROE |
10.7%
|
13.3%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
30.6%
|
24.9%
|
| Debt / Equity |
0.96×
|
0.35×
|
| Dividend Yield |
1.4%
|
2.9%
|
| RSI (14) |
58.2
|
36.5
|
| Beta |
1.121
|
-0.22
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
—
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for FERG versus ZTO.
ZTO leads by 6 points.
ZTO scores 69/100 (Buy) versus FERG at 63/100 (Buy).
FERG Committee View
75% agreement
4 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 21.0% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Bollinger bandwidth of 21.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
ZTO Committee View
100% agreement
6 analysts
The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. The main limiting factor is 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.0 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.9% pays you to wait — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
- No news coverage in the last 14 days -- limited independent confirmation either way — News