GEO vs GVA
The GEO Group, Inc. vs Granite Construction Incorporated — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
70
Buy
VS
GVA
Granite Construction Incorporated
69
Buy
| Metric | GEO | GVA |
|---|
| AI Score |
70
|
69
|
| Price |
$31.21
|
$127.10
|
| P/E Ratio |
14.19×
|
-32.80×
|
| ROE |
16.9%
|
16.4%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
42.4%
|
15.6%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.06×
|
2.30×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.0%
|
0.4%
|
| RSI (14) |
43.4
|
47.9
|
| Beta |
0.779
|
1.335
|
| Expected Upside |
+5.7%
|
+10.4%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for GEO versus GVA.
GEO leads by 1 points.
GEO scores 70/100 (Buy) versus GVA at 69/100 (Buy).
GEO Committee View
60% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
GVA Committee View
50% agreement
4 analysts
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Negative filing: Termination of a material agreement (10d ago) — News