GEO vs HRI
The GEO Group, Inc. vs Herc Holdings Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
67
Buy
VS
HRI
Herc Holdings Inc.
65
Buy
| Metric | GEO | HRI |
|---|
| AI Score |
67
|
65
|
| Price |
$30.36
|
$168.31
|
| P/E Ratio |
14.70×
|
114.65×
|
| ROE |
16.9%
|
0.1%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
42.4%
|
28.9%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.06×
|
5.01×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.0%
|
1.7%
|
| RSI (14) |
58.5
|
62.8
|
| Beta |
0.779
|
1.869
|
| Expected Upside |
+2.0%
|
+11.0%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for GEO versus HRI.
GEO leads by 2 points.
GEO scores 67/100 (Buy) versus HRI at 65/100 (Buy).
GEO Committee View
60% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is p/e of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 80 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
HRI Committee View
67% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+1.00 across 1 articles, 14d). Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 114.3 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 28.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 69.0% YoY — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
Bear Case
- P/E of 114.3 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 2.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.18 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value