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HRI · NYSE · STOCK

Herc Holdings Inc.

Industrials Updated August 11, 2026
$171.50
52W $88.45 – $188.35
61/100
$5.72B
116.3
1.87
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
61/100
Conviction: Contested · 75% agreement · 4 analysts
Contested

Is HRI Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI) Buy with a composite score of 61/100 , based on 4 analysts with 75% agreement. Last updated August 11, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.48 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.52 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 24.8% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
  • Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
  • RSI at 71 is in overbought territory — Technical
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 24.8% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
75%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 45%
of 223 Industrials peers
Technical Analyst bullish
61 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 71 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 24.8% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
78 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst bullish
68 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 15 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
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Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
70.9
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.433
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$128.19
Resistance
$187.20
Bollinger %B
0.85
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$165.40 Above
EMA 21
$158.82 Above
EMA 50
$150.11 Above
EMA 200
$140.60 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
59
Profitability
7
Financial Health
13
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 116.3×
P/B Ratio 3.02×
PEG Ratio -0.05
Dividend Yield 1.64%
52W High $188.35
52W Low $88.45
Quality & Growth
ROE 5.1%
ROA 0.7%
Gross Margin 2893.3%
Operating Margin 1445.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 5.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 116.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.0x; PEG ratio of -0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 1.0%; Gross margin of 28.9%; Current ratio of 1.10 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 5.01; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.78); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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