GEO vs LII
The GEO Group, Inc. vs Lennox International — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
70
Buy
VS
LII
Lennox International
49
Watch
| Metric | GEO | LII |
|---|
| AI Score |
70
|
49
|
| Price |
$31.91
|
$393.62
|
| P/E Ratio |
15.04×
|
17.99×
|
| ROE |
16.9%
|
67.6%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
42.4%
|
33.1%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.06×
|
1.56×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.0%
|
1.3%
|
| RSI (14) |
60.6
|
26.0
|
| Beta |
0.779
|
1.199
|
| Expected Upside |
+0.1%
|
+38.0%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for GEO versus LII.
GEO leads by 21 points.
GEO scores 70/100 (Buy) versus LII at 49/100 (Watch).
GEO Committee View
83% agreement
6 analysts
The primary driver is p/e of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is price trading above the upper bollinger band -- stretched. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 84 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
LII Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 36.1% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 67.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 14.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Revenue declining -2.1% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -3.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth