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Lennox International (LII) Stock Analysis

Industrials Updated October 10, 2026
$356.56
52W $350.22 – $587.27
58/100
$12.32B
16.1
1.16
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
58/100
Conviction: Contested · 40% agreement · 5 analysts
+54.5%
Contested

Is LII Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Lennox International (LII) Watch with a composite score of 58/100 , based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.46 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.54 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.43 across 7 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • ROE of 67.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.43 across 7 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • Price-to-book of 14.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • Revenue declining -2.1% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
  • EPS declining -3.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
  • Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
  • Weekly RSI at 25 -- oversold on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 48%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 67.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 14.6x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst bearish
40 / 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -2.1% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst neutral
56 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
71 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.43 across 7 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 56.9 to 57.5.

Analyst-level changes:
  • News Analyst: score 68->71 (+3); +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
40.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
2.075
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.20
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$360.89 Below
EMA 21
$367.25 Below
EMA 50
$395.89 Below
EMA 200
$468.98 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
65
Growth
64
Profitability
76
Financial Health
56
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 16.1×
P/B Ratio 9.53×
PEG Ratio -2.84
Dividend Yield 1.49%
52W High $587.27
52W Low $350.22
Quality & Growth
ROE 6928.0%
ROA 1974.1%
Gross Margin 3310.1%
Operating Margin 1937.1%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 1.56
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 9.5x; PEG ratio of -2.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 69.3%; Return on assets of 19.7%; Net margin of 14.6%; Gross margin of 33.1%; Current ratio of 1.57 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.56; Free cash flow per share is positive (21.29); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.5%; EPS growth accelerating (-24.7% -> +130.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -1.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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