GEO vs MATX
The GEO Group, Inc. vs Matson, Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
70
Buy
VS
| Metric | GEO | MATX |
|---|
| AI Score |
70
|
72
|
| Price |
$31.21
|
$217.75
|
| P/E Ratio |
14.19×
|
14.20×
|
| ROE |
16.9%
|
16.1%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
42.4%
|
23.0%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.06×
|
0.26×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.0%
|
0.7%
|
| RSI (14) |
43.4
|
61.4
|
| Beta |
0.779
|
1.276
|
| Expected Upside |
+5.7%
|
+7.5%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for GEO versus MATX.
MATX leads by 2 points.
MATX scores 72/100 (Buy) versus GEO at 70/100 (Buy).
GEO Committee View
60% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
MATX Committee View
75% agreement
4 analysts
The primary driver is 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Most analysts agree, and no major concerns are blocking a stronger rating.
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 24.4% downside vs 7.5% upside.