MATX · NYSE · STOCK
Matson (MATX) Stock Analysis
$226.08
52W $88.50 – $240.87
64/100
$6.83B
15.0
1.30
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is MATX Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Matson, Inc. (MATX) Buy with a composite score of 64/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +11.18 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -8.82 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 14.6 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 16.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -0.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.89 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 14%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
76
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.6 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -0.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.13) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Current ratio of 0.89 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 63.8 to 63.8.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.629
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$162.03
Resistance
$230.43
Bollinger %B
0.39
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$226.28
Below
EMA 21
$226.23
Below
EMA 50
$221.43
Above
EMA 200
$188.60
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
62
Growth
81
Profitability
62
Financial Health
54
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.0×
P/B Ratio
2.45×
PEG Ratio
44.98
Dividend Yield
0.65%
52W High
$240.87
52W Low
$88.50
Quality & Growth
ROE
1612.2%
ROA
934.5%
Gross Margin
2302.3%
Operating Margin
1449.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.26
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of 45.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.1%; Return on assets of 9.3%; Net margin of 13.4%; Gross margin of 23.0%; Current ratio of 0.89 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.26; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.11); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.4%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-59.8% -> +130.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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