MATX · NYSE · STOCK
Matson (MATX) Stock Analysis
$235.70
52W $92.64 – $240.87
65/100
$7.12B
15.6
1.30
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is MATX Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Matson, Inc. (MATX) Buy with a composite score of 65/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.31 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.69 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value. The main limiting factor is 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 16.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -0.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Current ratio of 0.89 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 11%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
71
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -0.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.13) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Current ratio of 0.89 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 66.8 to 64.7.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Technical Analyst: score 61->69 (+8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: score 76->71 (-5).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.476
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$162.03
Resistance
$240.59
Bollinger %B
0.87
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$229.65
Above
EMA 21
$227.89
Above
EMA 50
$222.71
Above
EMA 200
$189.90
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
60
Growth
81
Profitability
62
Financial Health
54
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.6×
P/B Ratio
2.55×
PEG Ratio
46.89
Dividend Yield
0.62%
52W High
$240.87
52W Low
$92.64
Quality & Growth
ROE
1612.2%
ROA
934.5%
Gross Margin
2302.3%
Operating Margin
1449.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.26
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.6x; PEG ratio of 46.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.1%; Return on assets of 9.3%; Net margin of 13.4%; Gross margin of 23.0%; Current ratio of 0.89 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.26; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.11); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.4%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-59.8% -> +130.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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