GEO vs POOL
The GEO Group, Inc. vs Pool Corporation — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
70
Buy
VS
POOL
Pool Corporation
68
Buy
| Metric | GEO | POOL |
|---|
| AI Score |
70
|
68
|
| Price |
$31.21
|
$195.00
|
| P/E Ratio |
14.59×
|
17.89×
|
| ROE |
16.9%
|
34.3%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
42.4%
|
29.6%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.06×
|
1.35×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.0%
|
2.6%
|
| RSI (14) |
54.0
|
42.8
|
| Beta |
0.779
|
1.054
|
| Expected Upside |
+2.8%
|
+13.3%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for GEO versus POOL.
GEO leads by 2 points.
GEO scores 70/100 (Buy) versus POOL at 68/100 (Buy).
GEO Committee View
60% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 80 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
POOL Committee View
67% agreement
6 analysts
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is price-to-book of 7.2x prices in significant intangible value. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 32.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 7.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value