POOL · NASDAQ · STOCK
Pool Corporation
$201.44
52W $172.68 – $336.15
60/100
$7.34B
18.5
1.05
Is POOL Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Pool Corporation (POOL) Watch with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +0.49 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -19.51 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 32.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 2 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 7.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 51%
of 223 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 32.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 7.2x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
74
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 2 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.137
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$195.62
Resistance
$220.89
Bollinger %B
0.65
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$199.85
Above
EMA 21
$198.93
Above
EMA 50
$199.46
Above
EMA 200
$224.70
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
73
Profitability
65
Financial Health
79
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.5×
P/B Ratio
5.79×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
2.51%
52W High
$336.15
52W Low
$172.68
Quality & Growth
ROE
3428.9%
ROA
1120.8%
Gross Margin
2957.9%
Operating Margin
1075.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.35
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 18.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.8x; PEG ratio of -100.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 34.3%; Return on assets of 11.2%; Net margin of 7.4%; Gross margin of 29.6%; Current ratio of 2.67 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.35; Free cash flow per share is positive (16.86); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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