POOL · NASDAQ · STOCK
Pool (POOL) Stock Analysis
$159.68
52W $152.70 – $305.63
61/100
$5.81B
14.7
1.04
Is POOL Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Pool Corporation (POOL) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.42 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.58 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Supporting evidence favours the bullish case. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.4 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 32.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 7.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 30%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.4 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 7.2x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.9 to 60.6.
- Conviction changed from high to moderate.
- Committee agreement fell sharply from 80% to 60%.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 64->58 (-6).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
42.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.318
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.29
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$159.83
Below
EMA 21
$164.96
Below
EMA 50
$175.44
Below
EMA 200
$207.39
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
84
Growth
60
Profitability
65
Financial Health
79
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
14.7×
P/B Ratio
4.59×
PEG Ratio
-79.92
Dividend Yield
3.20%
52W High
$305.63
52W Low
$152.70
Quality & Growth
ROE
3428.9%
ROA
1120.8%
Gross Margin
2957.9%
Operating Margin
1075.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.35
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 14.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.6x; PEG ratio of -79.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 34.3%; Return on assets of 11.2%; Net margin of 7.4%; Gross margin of 29.6%; Current ratio of 2.67 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.35; Free cash flow per share is positive (16.86); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.9%; EPS growth accelerating (+70.2% -> +276.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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