GEO vs ROL
The GEO Group, Inc. vs Rollins, Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
68
Buy
VS
| Metric | GEO | ROL |
|---|
| AI Score |
68
|
57
|
| Price |
$32.17
|
$36.37
|
| P/E Ratio |
15.03×
|
33.05×
|
| ROE |
16.9%
|
38.3%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
42.4%
|
50.7%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.06×
|
0.78×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.0%
|
2.0%
|
| RSI (14) |
60.3
|
37.9
|
| Beta |
0.779
|
0.744
|
| Expected Upside |
+0.2%
|
+57.7%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for GEO versus ROL.
GEO leads by 11 points.
GEO scores 68/100 (Buy) versus ROL at 57/100 (Buy).
GEO Committee View
60% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is p/e of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 77 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
ROL Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.38 across 8 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.60 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 37.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.9 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 21.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical