GEO vs UPS
The GEO Group, Inc. vs United Parcel Service — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
70
Buy
VS
UPS
United Parcel Service
65
Buy
| Metric | GEO | UPS |
|---|
| AI Score |
70
|
65
|
| Price |
$32.19
|
$102.72
|
| P/E Ratio |
15.29×
|
18.93×
|
| ROE |
16.9%
|
34.3%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
42.4%
|
16.6%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.06×
|
1.90×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.0%
|
6.4%
|
| RSI (14) |
69.6
|
34.8
|
| Beta |
0.779
|
1.038
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
+0.8%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for GEO versus UPS.
GEO leads by 5 points.
GEO scores 70/100 (Buy) versus UPS at 65/100 (Buy).
GEO Committee View
80% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is p/e of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is price trading above the upper bollinger band -- stretched. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 84 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
UPS Committee View
75% agreement
4 analysts
The primary driver is 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 18 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical